Was Jesus the Foretold Messiah

what is the chance that a person born in Israel would be born in or be
from Bethlehem
1 to 280,000 is the probability that one would be born in Bethlehem
other than other parts of the world. Stoner’s argument about Jesus’
birth in Bethlehem would be unlikely or minimal. However, the book of
Micah, fund in the bible, which foretold the birth of Jesus, contains
evidence that Jesus was certainly born in Bethlehem. The books of Luke
and Mathew support the assertion.
What would the probability be that a person would be crucified in Israel
given that he lived in that time period?
Assuming the population of Bethlehem during the crucifixion of Jesus
was 240,000 people, during those days in every year a total of three
people would get crucified therefore the probability of a crucifixion of
one person every year would be 1 out of every 80,000 people. I assigned
this figure of 240,000 people in consideration of the assumption that
Bethlehem was a small town.
Probability
2.4 x 105 or 1 in 240,000
2. Choose one of the eight prophecies in Stoner’s research. Explain
how he might have arrived at the probability he assigned. Do you think
his estimated probability is too high(conservative) or too low? What
probability would you assign and why? Use the following link to help
with this question.
My choice is “Jesus didn’t enter Jerusalem carried in regal splendor
but riding humbly on a donkey (Zech. 9:9).”
Stoner presenting his argument states that a fraction of individuals
entering the city of Jerusalem riding on a donkey would be 1 out of 100.
In my opinion Stoner’s estimation was too high, I believe din, to
assign this probability was not rational I would thus assign a
probability 1 out of every 20 people (Phillips, 2003).
Probability according Stoner
1*10² =100 or 1 in 100
Probability according to me
1 in 20
3. Given the new probabilities you associated with each prophecy, what
is the probability that all eight happened in sequence? Hint: What’s
the probability that you flip a coin and it comes up tails? 50%. What if
you flip the coin twice and it comes up tails both times? 1/2*1/2 = 25%.
What if three times? 1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/8. What if four? Five? Now think
about the probability of just two prophecies coming to pass at the same
time. What would the probability be? What about three prophecies? Eight?
Show your work
In this case the probability of a prophesy coming true is 1 out of 2
this means that the either the prophesy come true or did not come true.
So the probability of the eight prophesies coming true is 1 out of 256.
This can be calculated as follows
1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2=1/256
4. Reflection Question: Do you think it is possible that someone other
than Jesus could have fulfilled the prophecies of the Bible?
No it is not possible for someone other than Jesus to have fulfilled
the prophesies. The following are my reasons the probability of one
being born in Bethlehem is 1 out of 300,000,000 (approximated population
of earth during Jesus birth). Thus no one can arrange where to be
born, and according to the prophesy the messiah’s birth would be in
Bethlehem and through a virgin who would conceive through the holy
spirit. In addition to this, death is natural and beyond human knowledge
and control thus no one can arrange their own death. Moreover, choose
crucifixion as their ultimate end alongside thieves. Nor can anyone plan
that after his death his executors would gamble over his clothes and
darkness would reign at midday. Only Jesus Christ would die and raise
from the dead so it is not possible for anyone to have faked as Jesus.
Why do some religious groups claim to believe the Bible, but reject
Jesus as the Messiah?
Most of this religious groups had different expectation about the
messiah thus according to them Jesus did not fulfill all the prophesies
prophesied about him by the prophets (Cohn-Sherbok, 2000)
Reference
Cohn-Sherbok, D. (2000). Messianic Judaism. London: Cassell.
Phillips, J. (2003). Exploring the future: A comprehensive guide to
Bible prophecy. Grand Rapids, MI: Kregel Publications.
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